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【Steel】Demand Remains High, Steel Companies' Profitability Improves

【Steel】Demand Remains High, Steel Companies' Profitability Improves

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【Steel】Demand Remains High, Steel Companies' Profitability Improves

 

1.  Black Futures Prices Rebound: This week, the main contract of rebar was closed at 3,133 yuan/ton, up 61 yuan/ton from last week, a 1.99% increase; hot rolled coil main contract closed at 3,273 yuan/ton, up 72 yuan/ton from last week, a 2.25% increase; iron ore main contract closed at 764 yuan/ton, up 32 yuan/ton from last week, a 4.30% increase.

Apparent Consumption Volume of the Five Major Steel Products.png

2. Apparent Consumption of the Top Five Steel Products Declined Year-on-Year This Week: The apparent consumption of the top five varieties this week was 8,795,200 tons, an increase of 45,200 tons month-on-month, but a decrease of 121,300 tons year-on-year; among them, rebar consumption decreased by 152,200 tons year-on-year, while hot rolled coil consumption increased by 139,500 tons year-on-year. Inventories of the top five steel varieties decreased this week: the total inventory of the five varieties was 18,220,300 tons, down 668,400 tons year-on-year; rebar inventory was 7,371,000 tons, down 392,550 tons year-on-year; hot rolled coil inventory was 4,315,700 tons, down 120,030 tons year-on-year.

Apparent Consumption Volume of Rebar.png

3. Iron Production Increased: Iron production of 247 steel enterprises was 2,398,100 tons, a decrease of 10,400 tons from last week, but an increase of 15,200 tons year-on-year. Electric furnace capacity utilization rate declined: this week, the operating rate and capacity utilization rate of 87 electric arc furnaces were 63.59% and 50.36%, respectively.

Historical Inventory Fluctuations of the Five Major Steel Products.png

4. Steel Prices Rebounded MoM: The Myspic comprehensive steel price index increased by 1.12% compared to last week. In Shanghai, rebar was 3,220 yuan/ton, up 50 yuan/ton from last week. Hot rolled coil in Shanghai was 3,330 yuan/ton, up 50 yuan/ton from last week.

Pig Iron Output of 247 Steel Enterprises.png

5. Iron Ore Prices Rebounded MoM: This week, Platts 62% iron ore was 98.55/ton,up98.55/ton,up2.25/ton from last week. Australia shipped 15.852 million tons, down 1.454 million tons from last week; Brazil shipped 5.789 million tons, down 1.978 million tons from last week. The latest import ore inventory of 247 steel mills was 89,796,400 tons, up 610,700 tons from last week. Tianjin Quanyi metallurgical coke was 1,220 yuan/ton, stable from last week. Scrap steel was 2,080 yuan/ton, down 20 yuan/ton from last week.

Weekly Output of the Five Major Steel Products.png

6. Profitability per Ton of Steel Improved: This week, profit margins for blast furnace rebar, electric arc furnace construction steel, blast furnace hot rolled steel, and cold rolled steel fluctuated by 17, 11, 23, and 21 yuan/ton, respectively.

Rebar Blast Furnace Gross Profit Changes.png

7. Downstream Apparent Demand: This week, domestic cement shipment was 2,725,800 tons, down 1,029,500 tons year-on-year; PVC production was 452,580 tons, up 38,780 tons year-on-year; semi-steel tire capacity utilization was 65.79%, down 14.25 percentage points year-on-year; full-steel tire capacity utilization was 61.11%, up 3.05 percentage points year-on-year.

Construction Steel Electric Furnace Gross Profit Changes.png

Risk warning: Macroeconomic fluctuations beyond expectations, policies not meeting expectations, corporate operational risks, etc. 

Hot Rolled Coil Gross Profit Changes.png

The above content is excerpted from "[Zhongtai Steel] | Demand Remains High, Steel Companies' Profitability Improves".


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